ELVI Dataset

August 2021 ELVI Dataset (Updated as of August 3):

August Election Violence Forecast

• Zambia (August 12) - 74% chance of violence

Top-5 At-Risk Remaining Elections for 2021

• Chile (November 21) - 95% chance of violence
• Somalia (sometime in 2021) - 93% chance of violence
• Mali (October 31) - 88% chance of violence
• Haiti (September 19) - 84% chance of violence
• Zambia (August 12) - 74% chance of violence

Find the most current ELVI event data here

Find the most current ELVI forecast data here

Codebook and Notes

Codebook

Questions?

If you are unable to download the data, or have questions/inquiries, please contact Matthew Frank (mfrank@oneearthfuture.org). Also feel to contact Matthew if you notice any bugs or wrongly coded data. Thanks!